{"sourceCoverageUrl":"/api/source-coverage","event":{"id":"ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17","name":"UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott","startsAt":"2026-10-17T21:00:00Z"},"automation":{"status":"already_published","attempted":false},"publication":{"status":"locked","publishedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","lockedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","revision":1,"integrityVerified":true},"picks":[{"id":"top-picks:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:best_bet","category":"best_bet","status":"data_unavailable","title":null,"fightId":null,"selection":null,"marketType":null,"sportsbook":null,"americanOdds":null,"fanEdgeProbability":null,"marketImpliedProbability":null,"edge":null,"expertSupport":null,"expertTotal":null,"weightedConsensus":null,"modelConfidence":null,"convictionScore":null,"confidenceLabel":null,"verdict":"DATA UNAVAILABLE","explanation":"Data unavailable. A Best Bet requires a locked FanEdge model probability, verified price, expert consensus, and a qualifying calculated edge.","analysis":{"strikingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified striking matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","grapplingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified grappling matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","recentPerformance":"Data unavailable. No verified recent-performance evidence was supplied to this calculation.","styleInteraction":"Data unavailable. No verified style-interaction evidence was supplied to this calculation.","physicalAdvantages":"Data unavailable. No verified physical-advantage evidence was supplied to this calculation.","historicalIndicators":"Data unavailable. No verified historical indicators were supplied to this calculation.","expertConsensus":"Data unavailable. A qualifying human/editorial expert sample was not supplied.","marketMovement":"Data unavailable. Opening or prior market snapshots were not supplied.","modelMarketDisagreement":"Data unavailable. A locked model probability and verified price are required.","keyRisks":"Data unavailable. No verified risk evidence was supplied to this calculation."},"qualification":{"reason":"No side has a locked model, verified persisted h2h quote, model confidence, data quality, and at least six distinct human/editorial expert votes.","minimumHumanEditorialExperts":6,"presentationNormalization":"derived_published_model_consensus_terminology_v1"},"legs":[],"formulaVersion":1,"modelVersion":"fanedge:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:published-model-ensemble:v1","modelGeneratedAt":null,"oddsCapturedAt":null,"publishedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","lockedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","outcome":null,"unitsRisked":null,"unitsWonLost":null,"closingOdds":null,"closingSportsbook":null,"closingSourceUrl":null,"closingCapturedAt":null,"closingLineValue":null,"gradedAt":null},{"id":"top-picks:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:best_parlay","category":"best_parlay","status":"data_unavailable","title":null,"fightId":null,"selection":null,"marketType":null,"sportsbook":null,"americanOdds":null,"fanEdgeProbability":null,"marketImpliedProbability":null,"edge":null,"expertSupport":null,"expertTotal":null,"weightedConsensus":null,"modelConfidence":null,"convictionScore":null,"confidenceLabel":null,"verdict":"DATA UNAVAILABLE","explanation":"Data unavailable. FanEdge will not build a parlay until at least two independently qualifying legs have verified prices and locked model probabilities.","analysis":{"strikingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified striking matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","grapplingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified grappling matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","recentPerformance":"Data unavailable. No verified recent-performance evidence was supplied to this calculation.","styleInteraction":"Data unavailable. No verified style-interaction evidence was supplied to this calculation.","physicalAdvantages":"Data unavailable. No verified physical-advantage evidence was supplied to this calculation.","historicalIndicators":"Data unavailable. No verified historical indicators were supplied to this calculation.","expertConsensus":"Data unavailable. A qualifying human/editorial expert sample was not supplied.","marketMovement":"Data unavailable. Opening or prior market snapshots were not supplied.","modelMarketDisagreement":"Data unavailable. A locked model probability and verified price are required.","keyRisks":"Data unavailable. No verified risk evidence was supplied to this calculation."},"qualification":{"reason":"At least two distinct fights need complete locked model, verified price, and minimum expert evidence before a parlay can be evaluated.","evaluableDistinctFights":0,"independentlyQualifyingLegs":0,"presentationNormalization":"derived_published_model_consensus_terminology_v1"},"legs":[],"formulaVersion":1,"modelVersion":"fanedge:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:published-model-ensemble:v1","modelGeneratedAt":null,"oddsCapturedAt":null,"publishedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","lockedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","outcome":null,"unitsRisked":null,"unitsWonLost":null,"closingOdds":null,"closingSportsbook":null,"closingSourceUrl":null,"closingCapturedAt":null,"closingLineValue":null,"gradedAt":null},{"id":"top-picks:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:best_underdog","category":"best_underdog","status":"data_unavailable","title":null,"fightId":null,"selection":null,"marketType":null,"sportsbook":null,"americanOdds":null,"fanEdgeProbability":null,"marketImpliedProbability":null,"edge":null,"expertSupport":null,"expertTotal":null,"weightedConsensus":null,"modelConfidence":null,"convictionScore":null,"confidenceLabel":null,"verdict":"DATA UNAVAILABLE","explanation":"Data unavailable. Plus-money prices alone do not establish value without a locked FanEdge probability and calculated edge.","analysis":{"strikingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified striking matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","grapplingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified grappling matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","recentPerformance":"Data unavailable. No verified recent-performance evidence was supplied to this calculation.","styleInteraction":"Data unavailable. No verified style-interaction evidence was supplied to this calculation.","physicalAdvantages":"Data unavailable. No verified physical-advantage evidence was supplied to this calculation.","historicalIndicators":"Data unavailable. No verified historical indicators were supplied to this calculation.","expertConsensus":"Data unavailable. A qualifying human/editorial expert sample was not supplied.","marketMovement":"Data unavailable. Opening or prior market snapshots were not supplied.","modelMarketDisagreement":"Data unavailable. A locked model probability and verified price are required.","keyRisks":"Data unavailable. No verified risk evidence was supplied to this calculation."},"qualification":{"reason":"Complete verified plus-money price coverage is unavailable.","presentationNormalization":"derived_published_model_consensus_terminology_v1"},"legs":[],"formulaVersion":1,"modelVersion":"fanedge:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:published-model-ensemble:v1","modelGeneratedAt":null,"oddsCapturedAt":null,"publishedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","lockedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","outcome":null,"unitsRisked":null,"unitsWonLost":null,"closingOdds":null,"closingSportsbook":null,"closingSourceUrl":null,"closingCapturedAt":null,"closingLineValue":null,"gradedAt":null},{"id":"top-picks:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:overwhelming_favorite","category":"overwhelming_favorite","status":"data_unavailable","title":null,"fightId":null,"selection":null,"marketType":null,"sportsbook":null,"americanOdds":null,"fanEdgeProbability":null,"marketImpliedProbability":null,"edge":null,"expertSupport":null,"expertTotal":null,"weightedConsensus":null,"modelConfidence":null,"convictionScore":null,"confidenceLabel":null,"verdict":"DATA UNAVAILABLE","explanation":"Data unavailable. Market favoritism is not a substitute for FanEdge's highest verified win probability.","analysis":{"strikingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified striking matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","grapplingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified grappling matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","recentPerformance":"Data unavailable. No verified recent-performance evidence was supplied to this calculation.","styleInteraction":"Data unavailable. No verified style-interaction evidence was supplied to this calculation.","physicalAdvantages":"Data unavailable. No verified physical-advantage evidence was supplied to this calculation.","historicalIndicators":"Data unavailable. No verified historical indicators were supplied to this calculation.","expertConsensus":"Data unavailable. A qualifying human/editorial expert sample was not supplied.","marketMovement":"Data unavailable. Opening or prior market snapshots were not supplied.","modelMarketDisagreement":"Data unavailable. A locked model probability and verified price are required.","keyRisks":"Data unavailable. No verified risk evidence was supplied to this calculation."},"qualification":{"reason":"A highest-probability card claim requires both locked model probabilities and both verified h2h quotes for every scheduled fight.","scheduledFights":13,"suppliedUniqueFights":0,"fullCardCoverage":false,"presentationNormalization":"derived_published_model_consensus_terminology_v1"},"legs":[],"formulaVersion":1,"modelVersion":"fanedge:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:published-model-ensemble:v1","modelGeneratedAt":null,"oddsCapturedAt":null,"publishedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","lockedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","outcome":null,"unitsRisked":null,"unitsWonLost":null,"closingOdds":null,"closingSportsbook":null,"closingSourceUrl":null,"closingCapturedAt":null,"closingLineValue":null,"gradedAt":null},{"id":"top-picks:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:best_prop","category":"best_prop","status":"data_unavailable","title":null,"fightId":null,"selection":null,"marketType":null,"sportsbook":null,"americanOdds":null,"fanEdgeProbability":null,"marketImpliedProbability":null,"edge":null,"expertSupport":null,"expertTotal":null,"weightedConsensus":null,"modelConfidence":null,"convictionScore":null,"confidenceLabel":null,"verdict":"DATA UNAVAILABLE","explanation":"Data unavailable. The connected live feed currently supplies moneylines, not verified prop markets.","analysis":{"strikingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified striking matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","grapplingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified grappling matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","recentPerformance":"Data unavailable. No verified recent-performance evidence was supplied to this calculation.","styleInteraction":"Data unavailable. No verified style-interaction evidence was supplied to this calculation.","physicalAdvantages":"Data unavailable. No verified physical-advantage evidence was supplied to this calculation.","historicalIndicators":"Data unavailable. No verified historical indicators were supplied to this calculation.","expertConsensus":"Data unavailable. A qualifying human/editorial expert sample was not supplied.","marketMovement":"Data unavailable. Opening or prior market snapshots were not supplied.","modelMarketDisagreement":"Data unavailable. A locked model probability and verified price are required.","keyRisks":"Data unavailable. No verified risk evidence was supplied to this calculation."},"qualification":{"reason":"The connected verified feed is h2h-only. No prop price or matched FanEdge prop probability was supplied.","supportedMarketTypes":["h2h"],"propFabricationPrevented":true,"presentationNormalization":"derived_published_model_consensus_terminology_v1"},"legs":[],"formulaVersion":1,"modelVersion":"fanedge:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:published-model-ensemble:v1","modelGeneratedAt":null,"oddsCapturedAt":null,"publishedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","lockedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","outcome":null,"unitsRisked":null,"unitsWonLost":null,"closingOdds":null,"closingSportsbook":null,"closingSourceUrl":null,"closingCapturedAt":null,"closingLineValue":null,"gradedAt":null},{"id":"top-picks:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:value_alert","category":"value_alert","status":"data_unavailable","title":null,"fightId":null,"selection":null,"marketType":null,"sportsbook":null,"americanOdds":null,"fanEdgeProbability":null,"marketImpliedProbability":null,"edge":null,"expertSupport":null,"expertTotal":null,"weightedConsensus":null,"modelConfidence":null,"convictionScore":null,"confidenceLabel":null,"verdict":"DATA UNAVAILABLE","explanation":"Data unavailable. A Value Alert requires a locked FanEdge probability and verified market price before a pricing discrepancy can be evaluated.","analysis":{"strikingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified striking matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","grapplingMatchup":"Data unavailable. No verified grappling matchup evidence was supplied to this calculation.","recentPerformance":"Data unavailable. No verified recent-performance evidence was supplied to this calculation.","styleInteraction":"Data unavailable. No verified style-interaction evidence was supplied to this calculation.","physicalAdvantages":"Data unavailable. No verified physical-advantage evidence was supplied to this calculation.","historicalIndicators":"Data unavailable. No verified historical indicators were supplied to this calculation.","expertConsensus":"Data unavailable. A qualifying human/editorial expert sample was not supplied.","marketMovement":"Data unavailable. Opening or prior market snapshots were not supplied.","modelMarketDisagreement":"Data unavailable. A locked model probability and verified price are required.","keyRisks":"Data unavailable. No verified risk evidence was supplied to this calculation."},"qualification":{"reason":"No side has the complete model, verified market, confidence, data-quality, and minimum human/editorial expert evidence needed to test for a Value Alert.","minimumHumanEditorialExperts":6,"presentationNormalization":"derived_published_model_consensus_terminology_v1"},"legs":[],"formulaVersion":1,"modelVersion":"fanedge:ufc-fight-night-2026-10-17:published-model-ensemble:v1","modelGeneratedAt":null,"oddsCapturedAt":null,"publishedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","lockedAt":"2026-10-11T15:36:22.291Z","outcome":null,"unitsRisked":null,"unitsWonLost":null,"closingOdds":null,"closingSportsbook":null,"closingSourceUrl":null,"closingCapturedAt":null,"closingLineValue":null,"gradedAt":null}],"performance":[{"category":"best_bet","ready":false,"sample":0,"minimum":10},{"category":"best_parlay","ready":false,"sample":0,"minimum":10},{"category":"best_underdog","ready":false,"sample":0,"minimum":10},{"category":"overwhelming_favorite","ready":false,"sample":1,"minimum":10},{"category":"best_prop","ready":false,"sample":0,"minimum":10},{"category":"value_alert","ready":false,"sample":0,"minimum":10}],"confidenceMetricLabel":"ENSEMBLE STRENGTH INDEX","thresholds":{"source":"publication","formulaVersion":1,"minimumEdge":0.04,"minimumConviction":75,"strongValue":0.07,"value":0.04,"smallEdge":0.02,"overpriced":-0.02},"predictionMethodology":"FanEdge Derived Published-Model Consensus: an equal-weight, orientation-normalized calculation over attributed third-party published model probabilities. Ensemble strength discounts the larger two-way probability by model-source disagreement and is not historical calibration.","dataPolicy":"Only hash-verified, locked, pre-event FanEdge Top Pick receipts are presented as official picks. Missing model, market, expert, or prop inputs stay unavailable. Historical performance remains hidden until the configured minimum settled sample is reached. Legacy derived-consensus receipts receive presentation-only terminology normalization; their stored values, timestamps, text, and hashes remain unchanged."}